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Confirmations: why 'confirmed' is a probability, not a switch

A transaction gets one confirmation when its block is mined, and more as blocks stack on top. Depth makes reversal exponentially harder — which is why pools wait for N confirmations before crediting your payout.

2026-10-19·updated 2026-10-19·3 min·pow.family research#bitcoin#mechanics
01

Depth, not truth

A transaction is 'in a block' after 1 confirmation — the block containing it was mined. Each subsequent block on top adds one more. To undo a transaction with N confirmations, an attacker must re-mine that block AND all N−1 after it, faster than the honest network extends the chain. Every extra confirmation multiplies the cost of that rewrite.

0 conf
mempool
unconfirmed — replaceable in many wallets
1 conf
mined
reversible only by re-mining one block
6 conf
convention
historic Bitcoin merchant standard for large payments
100 conf
coinbase rule
block rewards themselves are spendable only after 100 blocks
02

What this means for miners

  • Pool payouts list 'N confirmations' before funds show as sendable — small chains vary from a few blocks to 100+.
  • A chain reorg (rare, usually 1–2 blocks deep) can briefly un-confirm transactions; exchanges then pause withdrawals.
  • Your pool dashboard's 'pending balance' is pre-confirmation; 'paid' plus N confirmations is money you can spend.
03

See it live on pow.family

Every coin page lists block interval and confirmation norms — the two numbers that set how long you wait from 'pool paid' to 'wallet holds'.

Sources

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Confirmations: why 'confirmed' is a probability, not a switch · pow.family